Time to flyby
Calculating
Target: 2029-04-13 21:46 UTC
99942 Apophis
Near-Earth Asteroid / Safe 2029 Flyby
The asteroid often compared to the Eiffel Tower will pass unusually close to Earth on April 13, 2029. It will not hit Earth, and that certainty is what makes the encounter so valuable.
Overview
99942 Apophis became famous after early observations in 2004 raised concern about possible future impacts. Better tracking removed that threat. NASA and JPL now state that Apophis cannot impact Earth during the 2029 encounter and that Earth is safe from Apophis for at least the next century.
The popular “God of Chaos” framing makes Apophis memorable, but the science is more interesting than the fear. In 2029, a large near-Earth asteroid will pass inside the orbit of many geosynchronous satellites, close enough for radar, telescopes, spacecraft, and public observers to study it in exceptional detail.
April 13, 2029
This is not a countdown to impact. It is a countdown to one of the best asteroid observation windows in modern astronomy.
Time to flyby
Calculating
Target: 2029-04-13 21:46 UTC
New observations briefly placed Apophis high on impact-risk lists before additional tracking refined the orbit.
Radar observations and orbit analysis ruled out an Earth impact for at least 100 years.
Apophis passes roughly 32,000 km above Earth's surface, creating a once-in-many-centuries observation opportunity.
NASA's OSIRIS-APEX mission is planned to study how the encounter changes Apophis.
Facts
NASA lists Apophis at about 340 meters in mean diameter, with a long axis of at least 450 meters.
The 2029 flyby distance is about 32,000 kilometers from Earth's surface, inside geosynchronous altitude.
JPL states the 2029 trajectory is known well enough to rule out an Earth impact.
Under favorable skies, the flyby may be visible to unaided observers in parts of Europe, Africa, and western Asia.
Science Value
The close pass lets scientists refine Apophis' size, shape, spin, surface properties, and future orbit with unusually strong data.
NASA repurposed the OSIRIS-REx spacecraft for an extended Apophis mission after returning the Bennu sample to Earth.
Apophis gives researchers a safe rehearsal for how humanity tracks, communicates, and studies potentially hazardous asteroids.
FAQ
No. NASA and JPL have ruled out a 2029 impact. Their later analysis also removed Apophis from impact-risk concern for at least the next 100 years.
Apophis is named after an ancient Egyptian figure associated with chaos. The phrase is useful for headlines, but the 2029 event is a safe close approach.
It is a useful scale comparison. NASA gives a mean diameter near 340 meters, while the Eiffel Tower is about 330 meters tall.
Large asteroids rarely pass this close. The encounter lets scientists study how Earth's gravity can alter an asteroid's spin, orbit, and surface.
Sources